Ehlana and Ethan:
Happy 27th Birthday, Luke Taylor!
We passed along best birthday wishes to Luke for Cassie and Michael while at church this morning, but that was the entirety of our involvement in his celebration with family and friends. Ethan and I got to meet Skye Reynolds this morning too, but that was another cameo moment that didn’t last long; since the newest member of our town was in high demand while being introduced to everyone today.
As for our news of the day, Uncle Adam’s birthday dinner was fun along with a fair bit of work on both sides of the meal and the kid control help we offered for younger cousins and next-gen kids. We had Naomi and Aiden with us for the meal and when we brought those cousins and kids home with us from the dinner; and then we were all kept busy for the rest of the night with keeping the kids entertained while our parents were collectively having fun at the pub. Mom and Dad were not designated drivers last night; and they came home comparatively-early too; since they weren’t getting a kid-free night. Mom managed to avoid any billiards challenges, but they did do a bit of dancing; and enjoyed the time out with their friends. By the time they got home, we had the youngest kids in their beds; most of the girls were either sleeping or winding down toward nap time; and only Zack, Eli, and some of the other guys were still up and playing video games in the lounge.
Naomi and I left it up toe Ethan and Aiden to keep them out of trouble, but we all had a visit with Mom and Dad; and then we joined the girls and went off to sleep soon after Mom and Dad went to bed. The boys stayed up later; Ethan and Aiden headed to their beds by around two o’clock; and Zack and Eli eventually just fell asleep in the lounge with the video gaming rolling on without them.
Our Sunday morning started with Tai Chi by the river; breakfast was an adventure; and we were kept busy getting everyone fed, ready for the day, and to the church on time. We had a good morning with the service and Sunday school; Ethan and I were on our own when we went home with Mom and Dad; and took care of some clean-up chores through until we had lunch. Ethan and I met up with some cousins and friends after that meal; we decided to bike to Quarry Lake; and had fun with the ride and a bit of wandering around at our favorite campground while enjoying the sunshine and the high that climbed into the mid-sixties. Some of us needed to be home in time for one of the buffets at the Inn, but we didn’t do that tonight; and had a quiet dinner with Mom and Dad. Ethan and I helped with the cooking and clean-up; and then we worked in the office and did a Magi lesson with Mom too.
While we kept busy with the family business and charity projects, we had a vid-chat with Cassie and Michael too – this time from Singapore for them on their Monday morning. We’re happy about that because Singapore is their last stop before they head home; so it really feels like we’re close to the end of their trip! They are going to be doing more business meetings this week; since this stop is all about finance, logistics, and shipping interests and projects that we are working on for multiple businesses and charities. Cassie and Michael are getting a bit tired; so they’re looking forward to getting home again soon too.
That brings us up to the world news update; and there isn’t good news to share tonight. The Iran war is expanding; the American and Israeli forces have started bombing oil refineries and storage tanks and desalination plants in Iran; and retaliations are starting in Israel and other Middle East countries. This is a horrific change in tactics that will devastate the environment; risk the health of millions of civilians that won’t have clean drinking water, and cost tens of billions of dollars in economic harm – or more; since destroyed energy infrastructure can take years to rebuild.
Just to add a bit of a math lesson, we use around one hundred million barrels of oil per day worldwide; so every ten dollar per barrel increase in price costs the world a billion dollars a day – and that’s before you add in all of the pass-through costs to final use products that add much more to those extra costs. On that note, first-week costs of the war are likely in the tens of billions of dollars between the cost of operations and weapons being expended on both sides along with the costs of what is being destroyed all across the Middle East. For one example, Iran is reporting upwards of ten thousand buildings damaged or destroyed – most of them civilian homes and businesses; and none of the militaries are disclosing damage to their bases, equipment, or deaths and injuries for military personnel. That isn’t a surprise during a war, but there are significant costs that go far beyond economic.
Before we move on from that war, we also want to mention that President Trump and others have been talking about expanding the war instead of trying to find a peaceful settlement – and we can assure you that Iran will not be accepting ‘unconditional surrender’ as an option for them. The worries we have are because our leaders are considering sending in ground forces; and aren’t excluding the possible use of nukes against Iran if they can’t get them to capitulate with conventional warfare. Both are insane; our leaders have not learned from history; and we will be on our way to another Vietnam or Afghanistan debacle if we continue down this path.
Let’s move on to Ukraine, since we should learn from that disaster too – and haven’t; since western leaders still want to keep that war going too instead of negotiating for peace there. We do need to mention that some oil sanctions on Russia are being paused because of the war in Iran; and that will just add a lot of revenue for Russia – especially as the price per barrel keeps going up! So much for the plan to destroy their economy with the sanctions, but then Ukraine also has the new added problem of not having access to new weapons deliveries because everything is being diverted to the Iran war – especially when it comes to air defense systems and offensive missiles. Russia does not have that problem; so they are continuing the non-stop attacks with missiles and drones every day. The frontlines stories are all bad for Ukraine too; and that could get a lot worse soon once the spring thaw ends and the ground hardens up again by mid to late April. That isn’t a prediction of imminent defeat – and that’s a lesson that we should keep in mind for the Iran war. Ukraine started their war with upwards of a million soldiers and the vast weapons support worth hundreds of billions of dollars from western countries; and they are still having their country destroyed a little at a time over more than four years now. Iran is larger with two or three times the population; so it makes no sense to believe that they can be defeated in a week or two. Let’s also note that Russia does not look at war the same way that western countries and leaders do; since they definitely do not think that it is acceptable to assassinate or kidnap leaders of other countries. Before we get off-track; we also wanted to point out that Russia has not won their fight with Ukraine in four years even with all of the bombing and a ground force of hundreds of thousands of soldiers. Yes, that is partly because they do not want to kill civilians indiscriminately, but they are also having serious issues with changing modern warfare that includes tech and intel capabilities that have changed the look of battlefields and tactics.
Both wars are ugly, but then so are the economic and political problems elsewhere in the world. Cuba and Central America continue to be dangerous hotspots; we really don’t think that President Trump should start another war with Cuba; and there was news over the weekend about a new ‘partnership’ with countries across the Americas to go to war with the cartels. We wish that there weren’t any criminal groups at all, but that is not going to work – just as the war on drugs hasn’t really worked for the past fifty or sixty years. That’s another can of worms that we should probably save for another update; since we’ve already done enough of a rant for one night!
Ethan and I are going to head off to dreamland soon; since we want to be back at full-power ahead of our last school week before our spring break. We’re ready to have that week off; and hope that we’ll get some nice weather while we get the time to play with our family and friends. We’ll have more on that when we get there, but that’s all for tonight; so we’re out of here right now.
Until next time, live with love, fellow Magi of the Light!